The Labour Party in the UK have been criticised for its position on handling Brexit – namely is it a Remain party or a leave party?
Labour’s position is tricky – with its support and just as importantly it’s potential support split between both remaining and leaving the European Union.
The below diagram plots constituencies voting for Labour in 2017 against those in favour of leaving the European Union.
Using unsupervised learning it is possible to see 5 types of constituencies clusters:
Cluster 1 (blue): Low Labour support
Cluster 2 (red): High Brexit, High Labour support
Cluster 3 (green): High Brexit support, mid level of Labour support
Cluster 4 (orange): High Brexit support, mid level of Labour support
Cluster 5 (yellow): Low Brexit vote, high Labour support
With a minority government essentially rudderless for Labour there are lots of potential parliamentary seats to win at a general election (green and orange clusters) and the attempt to please both sides of the Brexit debate (badly) in the short term and an attempt to unite a polarised country drives this much criticised strategy.
Labour’s problem is that constituencies that will lead to power are divided on Brexit and this does not look like changing in the short term.